Which chain will hold the largest stablecoin supply at the end of July 2026?
Leading: Ethereum 58%
Price chart
Ethereum 58% now
100%75%50%25%0%
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22now
Outcomes
Ethereum selected58%
Tron34%
Solana8%
Tap YES or NO on an outcome to load it into the bet panel. The panel stays focused on the one you picked, however long this list gets.
Volume$44,100Open to bet$16,800ClosesFri, Jul 31, 2026How oftenMonthly
How the odds are set
Yes price38%
No price62%
24h+2 pts
Volume$84,200
Available to bet$31,500
What 38% meansA YES share costs 38 cents and pays $1 if the event happens. $5.00 buys 13.16 shares, so YES returns $13.16 and NO returns nothing. The price is locked when you confirm, so it cannot move against you between the panel and the bet. Your own bet moves the price, so the panel quotes the amount in the box and locks THAT number, not this one.
Resolves to the chain holding the largest stablecoin supply when the reading is taken at 00:00 UTC on October 1, 2026. All other outcomes resolve NO. Source: DefiLlama, stablecoin supply by chain. Read automatically, so no person decides it. This is one month of a monthly series. It resolves on its own, and when it closes the next month opens as a separate event with its own reading. A bet here does not carry over.
Ethereum leads at 58% and has held the largest supply every month the series has run. What is moving the field:
For the leader (Ethereum)
Its lead has not been under ten points in any month of the series.
The largest issuers still mint there first.
Against / for the field
Tron has taken share in four of the last six months on transfer volume.
A single large issuer moving chains would close the gap in one week.
Background from the Yonder team to explain the odds. It plays no role in how this market resolves.
128 comments
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mm
marketmavenHolds 320 Ethereum2h ago
These always go to the wire. I am holding my position and adding if it dips.
dd
deadline_dan1h ago
The committee bloc looks firmer this time though.
pp
polly_predictsHolds 150 Tron5h ago
Volume jumped right after the headline. Watching how it settles.
nh
newhere1d ago
First bet here. The resolution source being official notices makes this easy to trust.
Biggest bets by outcome
1whwhale_07 Ethereum$1,240
2hehedge_hannah Tron$980
3mamarketmaven Ethereum$620
4alalpha_ape Solana$410
5sasatoshi_jr Solana$250
6ririskoff Solana$180
Bettor
Outcome
Amount
You
Ethereum
$5.33
whale_07
Ethereum
$434
hedge_hannah
Tron
$196
marketmaven
Ethereum
$254
polly_predicts
Solana
$21
Your bet is highlighted. Bets update as the odds move.
These always go to the wire. I am holding my position and adding if it dips.
The committee bloc looks firmer this time though.
Volume jumped right after the headline. Watching how it settles.
First bet here. The resolution source being official notices makes this easy to trust.