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Will 2026 be confirmed as one of the three warmest years on record before April 1, 2027?
The year is tracking near record heat through the first quarter.
YES 55%
General
Filters
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Will a new monthly global temperature record be set in July 2026?
Recent months have run close to prior highs.
YES 48%
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Will a crewed mission return from lunar orbit before January 1, 2028?
The flight is on the schedule but the launch date keeps moving.
YES 39%
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Will a Category 5 hurricane form in the Atlantic during the 2026 season?
Forecasters are calling for warmer than average ocean temperatures.
YES 62%
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Will global renewable capacity set a new annual record in 2026?
Installations are running ahead of last year through the first half.
YES 74%
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Which energy source will add the most new capacity in 2026?
The two leaders are close on projects already under construction.
About General events
Follow general events and back your opinion with a real stake. These events cover real-world questions that do not fit the other categories. You see the odds in plain language and how each event resolves before you bet, from one dollar, with no wallet to start.
Common questions
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- How does an event resolve?
- Each event states its resolution rule up front. The team resolves it against the real-world outcome, and you can see the record of resolved events.