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Crypto · Weekly series
Will Bitcoin close above $119,500 in the week to Jul 3?
YES 54% NO 46%
Price chart
YES 54% now100%75%50%25%0%
Volume$46,300
Open to bet$18,400
ClosesFri, Jul 3, 2026
How oftenWeekly
How the odds are set
Yes price54%
No price46%
24h+1 pt
Volume$46,300
Available to bet$18,400
What 54% meansA YES share costs 54 cents and pays $1 if the event happens. $5.00 buys 9.26 shares, so YES returns $9.26 and NO returns nothing. The price is locked when you confirm, so it cannot move against you between the panel and the bet. Your own bet moves the price, so the panel quotes the amount in the box and locks THAT number, not this one.
Resolves YES if the BTC-USD daily close on Friday, August 28, 2026 at 16:00 ET is above $119,500. Resolves NO if it is at or below that figure.
Source: CoinGecko BTC-USD daily close. Read automatically at 16:05 ET, so no person decides it.
This is one week of a weekly series. It resolves on its own, and when it closes the next week opens as a separate event with its own threshold. A bet here does not carry over.
YES is priced at 54%. The threshold is set at the price when the week opens, so a weekly market starts near even and the week decides it. What is moving the number:
For YES
- The price has held above the threshold since the week opened.
- Five of the last six weeks closed above their threshold.
For NO
- The threshold is within one per cent of the price, so one ordinary day decides it.
- Funding rates have flipped negative twice this week.
Background from the Yonder team to explain the odds. It plays no role in how this market resolves.
Biggest YES bets
1whwhale_07$1,240
2mamarketmaven$320
3alalpha_ape$280
4sasatoshi_jr$150
Biggest NO bets
1hehedge_hannah$980
2popolly_predicts$150
3cacaut_carl$120
4ririskoff$90
| Bettor | Side | Amount |
|---|---|---|
| You | YES | $4.94 |
| whale_07 | YES | $471 |
| hedge_hannah | NO | $588 |
| marketmaven | YES | $121 |
| polly_predicts | NO | $87 |
Your bet is highlighted. Bets update as the odds move.
Recent bets, largest first. Filter: over $5.
whwhale_07 bet $175 on YES2m ago
hhhedge_hannah bet $180 on NO14m ago
mmmarketmaven cashed out $31 on YES1h ago
pppolly_predicts bet $87 on NO3h ago
nhnewhere bet $4.94 on YES5h ago
I take this one most weeks. Near the threshold at the open is exactly where I want it.
Thursday is usually the day it picks a direction.
Volume jumped as soon as the threshold was posted. Watching how it settles.
First bet here. Knowing a program reads the close rather than a person makes this easy to trust.